CBC AM radio proclaimed that voters gave Ford a third majority government .
The fact that the news did not report the Conservative's vote share shows how they purposefully overlook failure of the electoral system.
(I wrote this up slightly differently and sent it into CBC but do not know if they amended their reportage)
it was not the voters who gave him a third majority government
but the electoral system,
and yes a plurality of voters.
Like previous two, his party did not have support of majority of voters.
Ford's Conservatives received only 42 percent of the votes cast.
the Conservatives received 2.2M of the 5M votes cast.
Surely that is news.
this election's Conservative share -- 42 percent -- was highest of its shares in the last three.
so a false-majority government for the third time in a row.
this time his party received only 42 percent of the votes cast.
the 80 successful Conservative candidates make up 65 percent of the Ontario legislative Assembly
Conservative party candidates (both successful and unsuccessful) received only 42 percent (2.2M of the 5M votes cast)
the successful 80 Conservative party candidates received only a portion of that 42 percent
even looking at party totals
each Conservative voter had power equal to at least 2 votes of others
each Conservative votes was worth 1.5 votes (ratio of 42 to 65)
the 57 percent of votes that went to other parties only netted 35 percent of seats. so were valued at just .77 votes.(ratio of 57 to 35)
this election's Conservative share -- 42 percent -- was highest of the last three.
so a false-majority government for the third time in a row
against will of the voters.
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some analysis
districts: Ajax - Bay of Quinte
WinnerVotes | Total Votes | Votes for NonWinners | Second Place Votes | NonWinners + Excess |
18499 | 41116 | 22617 | 18168 | 22949 |
11263 | 27252 | 15989 | 7409 | 19844 |
19532 | 34143 | 14611 | 11568 | 22576 |
22048 | 41235 | 19187 | 10613 | 30623 |
20011 | 40144 | 20133 | 14325 | 25820 |
20999 | 47272 | 26273 | 14883 | 32390 |
small parties waste
winners total second place total lost excess total
Ajax 18,499 18,168 4449 22,617 331 22,948
winner's total minus one, plus small parties = 22,947
Bay of Quinte
20,999 14,883 11,390 26,273 6116 32,389
winner's total minus one, plus small parties = 32,388
so we see that the winner's total minus 1
plus the vote tallies for "less-popular candidates"
(those other than the second-place candidate)
equals the total wasted votes
when you include both votes placed on defeated candidates and the winner's excess over the second-place candidate,
so that means that an equivalent of at least the winenr's vote tally are equal to the wasted votes.
so that means alot of votes!
If excess is taken to be merely more than 50 percent, then the number of excess votes would be reduced.
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wasted votes for Liberal and Green and Independent and smaller parties
Liberal total votes 1,504,688 wasted: about 1,231,000*
Green total votes 242,822 wasted: 188,000
Independent total votes 54,000 wasted: 20,000
smaller parties (added in my head) total votes 140,000 wasted: all of them 140,000
total votes received: 1,942,000
total wasted: 1,579,000.
pretty large percentage wasted
but Conservatives and NDP took alot of the effective votes with their combined 107 winners, so suffered much fewer wasted votes.
*Lib votes received likely include Ottawa-South
wasted votes -- final figure should minus winner's vote tally in Ottawa South (not available in my sources)
Tom Monto
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how I arrived at these numbers:
total party votes (preliminary totals reported on official site)
minus effective votes as in districts listed below
district winner's vote tally taken from respective Wiki article for the district,
except Ottawa South vote tally not available.
=====
Liberal total votes 1,504,688
the 14 successful candidates took
list of elected in 2025 is at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ontario_Liberal_Party)
vote tallies for the 14 successful candidates
Ajax 18,499
Beaches East York 21,545
Don Valley North 13,375
Don Valley East 15,797
Don Valley West 18,350
Etobicoke—Lakeshore 25,915
Kanata—Carleton 21,946
Kingston 33,288
Nepean 22,683
Orleans 30,482
Ottawa South ????
Ottawa Vanier 21,164
Scarborough 14,378
Toronto—St. Paul's 17,421
Liberal successful candidates : 274,000 votes (rounded off) not including Orrawa-South)
Liberal wasted votes: about 1,231,000
Green total votes 242,822
the two successful candidates
Shreiner Guelph 34,238
Aislinn Clancy 21,000
Green party successful candidates: 55,000
Green party wasted votes: 188,000
Independent total votes 54,000
Brady votes 33,669
(I might have made a mistake in previous email - she likely did not really have a hare quota for PR rep.)
Independent wasted votes: 20,331
140,000 votes cast for parties un-represented
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