"Leger’s poll numbers suggest that just 16 per cent of people are likely to vote for Sohi, who would face voters in October 2025, should he choose to run again, and two-thirds feel the city is heading in the wrong direction."
But that is only slightly less than he had in last election when he won handily by getting 20 percent more of the vote than his nearest competitor.
he got 45 percent of the votes cast for mayor -- 106,000 (17 percent of the voters)
his nearest competitor Mike Nickle got 25 percent of the votes cast for mayor -- 59,000 votes (which is only 10 percent of voters)
How can Sohi be elected with support from only 17 percent of the voters?
Only 40 percent voted and Sohi got 45 percent of he votes cast, so overall 16.9 percent of voters voted for him.
so his polling popularity of 16 percent is not so bad.
and the poll says 43 percent of voters say they will vote against him.
Back in the last election 55 percent actually voted against him!
So he is not doing so badly.
The reporters reporting this poll results likely think Sohi or another mayoral candidate needs support from a majority of voters to be elected, but such is not the case.
Sohi is not up against strong candidate who have support from majority of voters or even majority of votes cast.
The race will likely have five or more candidates and no one candidate will take majority of votes.
Sohi does not need majority of votes to win but only to have more than each other single candidate.
And with support from 57 percent,
(while 43 percent say they vote for someone else, that leaves 57 percent who say they will vote for him),
Sohi looks like a shoo-in under the casual unscientific kind of voting system that we use.
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